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Archive for March 17th, 2009

Urban Renewal

For the better part of six months we have been bombarded by arguments that we need to finance “shovel-ready projects.”  The New Deal is often cited as an example; let’s put people who were recently building tract houses in the Inland Empire to work on road crews.

There are two flaws with this logic.

  • It ties us to the same waste of resources that got us into this mess.  We had way too much of our economy tied to construction (and finance, which may or may not be a different story).  We need to transition to a new deployment of resources.  Basic infrastructure made some sense in the 1930s as we tried to digest the wave of unskilled immigration we experienced in the 1920s, but it is hardly the most promising avenue for the future.  Increasing the proportion of our economy in knowledge industries probably makes a bit more sense.
  • The emphasis on readiness gets in the way of creativity.  Whether projects begin today or a year from now is not a great concern, especially since the scale of government spending we are contemplating today is going to preclude us from doing it again in the near future.  Measure twice when you can only cut once.

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War Looking for Us

In case anyone was under the illusion that Mexico could burn and we would be spared, guess again:

American communities are seeing an increase in violent crimes related to the Mexican drug trade. In Phoenix, Arizona, in 2008, 366 kidnappings for ransom were reported — more than in any other U.S. city, Durbin said, citing federal statistics. The vast majority of those, he said, were related to Mexican drug cartels.

Meanwhile, in the Peruvian jungle:

The new Shining Path, taking a page from Colombia’s rebels, has reinvented itself as an illicit drug enterprise, rebuilding on the profits of Peru’s thriving cocaine trade.

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Dumb Arguments

Andrew Ross Sorkin, who really should know better, in the Times:

A.I.G. employees concocted complex derivatives that then wormed their way through the global financial system. If they leave — the buzz on Wall Street is that some have, and more are ready to — they might simply turn around and trade against A.I.G.’s book. Why not? They know how bad it is. They built it.

Why not?  Because we don’t have to keep AIG afloat, that’s why not.  Let the employees leave.  Declare bankruptcy and don’t honor any derivatives.  The employees are not taking advantage of some strange quirk of Wall Street, they are taking advantage of a failure of nerve of the US government.

There is no need to try to pass special taxes or otherwise amend hundreds of years of legal tradition to deal with AIG.  AIG is insolvent, and we have an easy process for disposing of insolvent entities.  And shifting funds out of an insolvent entity is already a crime: fraudulent convenyance.

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