Remind me
- Why we are still in Iraq.
- Why we still insist on keeping Iraq as one country.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2009/01/30/world/IRAQ-ELECTIONS-PRIMER.html
No one seems to argue for going back to this set of maps (http://unimaps.com/africa1914/index.html) and a great deal of effort went into breaking up this (http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/commonwealth/ussr_time_82.jpg). Today the mainstream of international opinion seems to accept as a given that Arab and Jew cannot live in the same country, and that therefore there should be two states west of the Jordan River.
Why then should one expect a Shiite/Sunni/Kurd blend to be any more stable? As best I can tell, we are opposed to letting the Kurd go because it would annoy the Turks, we are opposed to letting the Shiites go because they might be dominated in some form by Iran, and we are afraid of letting the Sunnis go because their land has no oil and they would be tempted to try to invade either the Kurd or the Shiite sectors.
What this fails to recognize is that sooner or later we are going to leave Iraq, and from that day forward the Iraqis are going to have to operate on their own. A federal system is simply a recognition that the groups vote entirely as blocks (ie no one trusts a member of a different clan/religion to look out for his interests); why not skip ahead a step and just let the three groups go? If that means that there is some Sunni-Shiite war, let’s get it over with quickly, while oil prices are low.